Saturday, December 22, 2007

Fed to propose new rules for mortgage lenders

WASHINGTON - People taking out home mortgages may gain new protections soon against shady lending practices as the Federal Reserve seeks to back even the riskiest borrowers, already hit hardest by the housing and credit crunches.

Rules expected to be proposed Tuesday would apply to loans made by all types of lenders, including banks and brokers. The plan from the Fed, which has regulatory powers over the nation's financial system, could be finalized next year. The effective date would be know then.

* Barring lenders from penalizing subprime borrowers — those with spotty credit or low incomes — who pay their loans off early.
* Forcing lenders to make sure that borrowers, especially subprime borrowers, set aside money to pay for taxes and insurance.
* Restricting loans that do not require proof of a borrower's income.
* Examining lenders' failure, in some cases, to consider a borrower's ability to repay a home loan.
* Improving financial disclosure so people better understand the terms and conditions of their mortgages and get this information when it is most useful.
* Curtailing abuses in mortgage advertising.

"We have an obligation to prevent fraud and abusive lending," the Fed chairman, Ben Bernanke, said earlier this year. "At the same time, we must tread carefully so as not to suppress responsible lending or eliminate refinancing opportunities for subprime borrowers.'

The issue has taken on heightened importance given the meltdown in the housing and credit markets that has led to record numbers of home foreclosures. The crisis has raised the odds that the economy might fall into a recession, roiled Wall Street and has given Democrats and Republicans much fodder to blame each other.

On prepayment penalties, consumer advocates say these deter homeowners from refinancing on more favorable terms. Those penalties can be hard on borrowers who want to get out of adjustable-rate mortgages that reset from a low introductory rate to a much higher one they have trouble paying off.

Mortgage industry representatives say prepayment penalties ensure that lenders receive a minimum return if loans are paid off early. They also say people with mortgages that include such penalties often get a benefit of lower upfront costs or lower interest rates.

Of the nearly 3 million subprime adjustable-rate loans surveyed by the Mortgage Bankers Association from July through September, a record 4.72 percent entered the foreclosure process during those months. At the same time, a record 18.81 percent of the subprime adjustable-rate loans were past due.

When home values weakened, borrowers were left with loans balances that eclipsed the value of their homes. They also were clobbered when their loans reset with much higher interest rates.

As for the idea of setting aside money to cover taxes and insurance, consumer groups worry that subprime borrowers do know about these expenses or might not be able to budget for them. These groups also have raised concerns about lenders quoting subprime borrowers monthly payments that do not include taxes and insurance costs.

The Mortgage Bankers Association has some problems with mandating escrow accounts — where those costs specifically are set aside each month — for borrowers. The association does support efforts to make sure borrowers have the appropriate information about their obligations to pay taxes and insurance.

The Fed says loans to subprime borrowers typically do not include such an account, while loans to people with better credit and lower risk to the lender usually do.

The central bank also says that lenders sometime will make a loan without documenting or verifying a borrower's income. Lenders may charge higher rates for such loans, the Fed says.

Mortgage lenders say these loans are appropriate for many borrowers, including those who are self-employed and cannot easily document their income. Consumer groups say many borrowers who could document their income are not aware they are getting a loan at a higher interest rate. These loans are sometimes called "liar's loans" because critics believe they can be used to perpetrate fraud.

Majority Democrats in Congress have been vocal in urging the Fed to act against abusive practices.

Massachusetts Rep. Barney Frank, chairman of the House Financial Services Committee, and other House Democrats said in a recent letter to the Fed that tougher rules are overdue and "needed to help eliminate the kinds of predatory lending practices that exacerbated the current subprime lending crisis."

The House has passed legislation that would put into law some of the same actions the Fed is considering. A similar bill is pending in the Senate. Supporters are heartened the Fed is moving ahead because they think the Fed might be able to finalize action before Congress does.

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No housing bubble popped in Ohio, Michigan

DETROIT - Michigan and Ohio share something with Florida and California — some of the nation's highest rates of foreclosed homes and delinquent mortgages. But the reasons for their woes are as different as their climates.

Battered by a declining manufacturing base, stagnant population growth and low demand for housing, Michigan and Ohio rank No. 1 and 2 on mortgage finance company Fannie Mae's list of states with the largest credit losses through Sept. 30.

Fannie Mae, which finances or guarantees one of every five home loans in the United States, listed losses — loans written off as having no chance of being recovered — of $185 million for Michigan and $101 million for Ohio — two similar states in many respects with strong ties to the auto industry. By contrast, California saw $30 million; Florida, $21 million.

"The underlying economies of Michigan and Ohio are that bad relative to California and Florida," said Doug Duncan, chief economist for the Mortgage Bankers Association. Michigan had the nation's highest unemployment rate in October at 7.7 percent; Ohio's rate was 5.9 percent. Both are above the national rate of 4.7 percent.

And jobs and income are all-important in keeping the housing market alive. Nationwide data from Countrywide Financial Corp., the nation's largest mortgage lender, found the No. 1 reason its customers have been defaulting on mortgage loans is because their income was cut. That accounted for almost 60 percent of its loan defaults in the first 10 months of this year. Once illness and divorce are factored in, cash-flow problems caused 80 percent of mortgage defaults nationwide, according to Countrywide's data; payment adjustments alone accounted for only 2 percent.

Phillip Hubbard of Flint, a town hard hit for decades by plant closings and immortalized by native Michael Moore in his 1989 film, "Roger & Me," knows first-hand how bad the housing market has become.

Hubbard, 39, said he left his job of 19 years in 2005 at a "mom-and-pop" auto parts store as he dealt with a form of muscular dystrophy and found physical aspects of the job difficult. He managed for nearly two years to pay his 30-year fixed mortgage on a small ranch home he bought six years ago his through disability checks and savings, but fell behind as gas prices, property taxes, utility bills and insurance premiums escalated.

He said he tried unsuccessfully to work out a new payment plan with his mortgage company. So he put the house up for sale in the spring and then let it go into foreclosure in October when he couldn't find a buyer.

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Fannie Mae's report shows the Midwest in general is suffering the largest loan losses. Of the top seven states, five are in the Midwest, with Minnesota ranked third, Indiana fourth and Illinois seventh. California and Florida are ranked fifth and sixth, respectively.

Teresa Gordon, a Michigan-based owner of a real estate firm that specializes in foreclosure, said the economy is a factor in her region's mortgage mess but the blame goes around, including lenders that got too lenient and buyers who made poor decisions.

"I'm one of the few people that's going to capitalize on this. ... but it's only (for) so long," Gordon said.

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Homebuilder sentiment stays at record low

WASHINGTON - Confidence among homebuilders in the United States remained at a record low for the third straight month in December, a trade group reported Monday.

The National Association of Home Builders said its housing market index, which gauges builders' perceptions of conditions and expectations for home sales over the next six months, came in at 19 in December. The number was at the lowest level since the index began in January 1985.

Index readings higher than 50 indicate positive sentiment. The seasonally adjusted index has been below 50 since May 2006, and declined for eight straight months this year, and has been unchanged since October.

Tighter lending standards, rising defaults among borrowers with weak credit and a sense of worry about the housing market's future have meant fewer buyers for hard-hit homebuilders such as D.R. Horton Inc., Pulte Homes Inc. and Centex Corp.

Many builders are "bracing themselves for the winter months when home buying traditionally slows, scaling down their inventories and repositioning themselves for the time when market conditions can support an upswing in building activity," David Seiders, the trade group's chief economist, said in a statement.

That's likely to occur, he said, by the second half of next year.

Confidence dropped in the northeast, but inched up in the Midwest and South. It remained unchanged in western states.

Nationwide, new-home sales are projected to fall to 788,000 this year, down 25 percent from 1.05 million last year, the National Association of Realtors said last week. Sales are expected to drop further to 693,000 in 2008, according to the Realtors' group.

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Paulson rules out bailout for mortgage crisis

WASHINGTON - The Bush administration reacted coolly Monday to a suggestion from former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan that the government should consider bolder efforts to deal with the current mortgage crisis.

Asked about Greenspan's suggestion that perhaps public money should be used to help struggling homeowners, Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson said the administration remained opposed to any type of government bailout.

"I don't think what we need is a big government bailout right now," Paulson said in an interview on Fox Business News. "I think what we need is to help the markets work the way they're intended to work and avoid those foreclosures that are preventable."

Greenspan said Sunday that the least harmful way of intervening would be to give direct financial aid to distressed homeowners.

"Cash is available and we should use that in larger amounts, as is necessary, to solve the problems of the stress of this," Greenspan said during an appearance on ABC's "This Week."

"It's far less damaging to the economy to create a short-term fiscal problem, which we would, than to try to fix the prices of homes or interest rates," Greenspan said. "If you do that, it'll drag this process out indefinitely."

Administration critics were likely to cite Greenspan's comments to bolster their own arguments that President Bush has been slow to recognize the threat to the economy from the unfolding mortgage crisis and so far has offered too little in the way of assistance.

Paulson, however, defended the administration's approach, saying that it was heavily reliant on getting the mortgage industry to do what is in its best interests to help as many homeowners as possible to avoid foreclosures.

"Our plan won't prevent every foreclosure and a modification will be available only when it's a financially feasible and necessary solution," Paulson said in a speech on housing Monday in Orlando, Fla.

Earlier this month, the administration announced it had brokered an agreement with the mortgage industry to freeze interest rates for certain subprime mortgages for five years to combat a soaring tide of foreclosures. Critics say it will not help enough people facing foreclosure with 1.8 million subprime mortgages scheduled to reset over the next two years to sharply higher rates.

The administration hopes the rate freeze will slow the pace of foreclosures, buying time for the housing market to stabilize and begin to recover. A rebound in sales and home prices will allow struggling homeowners to switch their current adjustable-rate mortgages to more affordable fixed-rate loans.

The housing slump has caused multibillion-dollar losses at some of the largest banks and investment firms and roiled financial markets. All these problems are expected to drag down economic growth to near recession levels over the final three months of this year and into early 2008.

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Paulson's appearance in Orlando at a housing townhall meeting was the first of three speeches he has scheduled this week in areas that have been hurt by the housing slump.

On Tuesday, Paulson was scheduled to speak at housing events in Kansas City, Mo. and then later in Stockton, Calif., to promote the benefits of the administration's approach to the housing crisis.

While Greenspan has said the risk of a recession has been rising, Paulson said he still believed the economy was "fundamentally sound" and would continue to grow.

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Washington seeks sweeping stabs at loan mess

WASHINGTON - Support is growing on several fronts in Washington for mortgage-industry reforms and homeowner-assistance programs with broader potential impact than the Bush administration's plan to freeze interest rates on a small percentage of home loans.

So far, the government has pursued modest responses to this year's surge in mortgage defaults and home foreclosures. But mounting foreclosures, fears of a recession and an upcoming election are prompting a range of more aggressive proposals from Congress, the Federal Reserve and consumer groups.

The Bush administration favors restraint, with President Bush saying Monday that the "the government should never bail out lenders." Still, the president noted that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is working with Rep. Barney Frank, D.-Mass., on a plan to allow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to finance larger loans, in conjunction with tighter regulation of the government sponsored companies.

Several housing-related bills had been stalled in Congress for much of the year. On Friday, though, the Senate overwhelmingly approved bills that would allow more government-backed loans to borrowers with weak credit and permit homeowners to receive tax-free mortgage forgiveness from their lenders. The IRS currently taxes any loan forgiveness as income.

These two measures have bipartisan support and appear likely to be signed by the president next year. Other proposals are more divisive and likely to be the subject of heated debate in Congress.

On Tuesday, the Federal Reserve is expected to propose a new set of reforms for the home-loan market, including requiring lenders to borrowers with spotty credit to set aside money for property taxes and insurance, and restricting loans that do not require proof of a borrower's income.

However, the Fed's actions are unlikely to diminish Democrats' desire for stricter protections for borrowers. Analysts say House and Senate Democrats are likely to push for more stringent restrictions next year.

"The drumbeat of bad news about mortgage delinquencies and foreclosures will keep the issue at the front of the policy debate," said Douglas Elmendorf, a senior fellow at the Brookings Institution.

Several proposals are already being floated:

* Alan Greenspan, former chairman of the Federal Reserve, suggested in a TV interview over the weekend that more government intervention was needed to help borrowers. "Cash is available and we should use that in larger amounts, as is necessary, to solve the problems of the stress of this," Greenspan said Sunday during an appearance on ABC's "This Week," offering few specifics.
* The Center for American Progress, a liberal public policy think tank, last week proposed the creation of a new government agency, the Family Foreclosure Rescue Corp., that would help borrowers whose home value has declined to less than that of their mortgage by providing fixed-rate loans and issuing government-insured bonds to pay for the efforts.
* Democrats and consumer groups are advancing legislation to bar abusive lending practices and to allow bankruptcy judges to reduce the size of a borrowers' home loans in court. Advocates say this change could help 500,000 borrowers or more, compared with around 250,000 likely to be helped by the Bush administration's plan to freeze introductory interest rates for some borrowers.

Some Republicans and lending industry lobbyists warn that an overreaction in Washington will limit access to mortgage loans just when they are needed most.

Republicans have backed limited responses, such as the bill passed by the Senate last week to raise the maximum mortgage the Federal Housing Administration can insure in high-cost areas from $362,790 to $417,000.

The government estimates that 200,000 more borrowers would be aided next year through the legislation — including new buyers and existing borrowers trying to refinance into new loans. The FHA currently insures 3.7 million loans.

The real estate industry has long pushed for this change, saying that the size of mortgages the government agency can back is often too small to attract borrowers in expensive areas such as California and the Northeast.

Experts say the effort is especially important right now because lenders focusing on borrowers with poor credit have disappeared and investors facing huge losses on mortgages securities are avoiding riskier loans.

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